Climate scientists tell governments how close they have brought us to the edge of no return

In Incheon, South Korea, this week, representatives of more than 130 countries and about 50 scientists have packed into a large conference centre going over every line of an all-important report: what chance does the planet have of keeping climate change to a moderate, controllable level?

When they can't agree, they form "contact groups" outside the hall, trying to strike an agreement and move the process along. They are trying to reach consensus on what it would mean - and what it would take - to limit the warming of the planet to just 1.5 degrees Celsius, when 1 degree has already occurred and greenhouse gas emissions remain at record highs.

The IPCC, the world's definitive scientific body when it comes to climate change, was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize a decade ago and has been given what may rank as its hardest task yet.

It must not only tell governments what we know about climate change - but how close they have brought us to the edge. And by implication, how much those governments are failing to live up to their goals for the planet, set in the 2015 Paris climate agreement.

1.5 degrees is the most stringent and ambitious goal in that agreement, originally put there at the behest of small island nations and other highly vulnerable countries. But it is increasingly being regarded by all as a key guardrail, as severe climate change effects have been felt in just the past five years - raising concerns about what a little bit more warming would bring.

"Half a degree doesn't sound like much til you put it in the right context," says Durwood Zaelke, president of the Institute for Governance and Sustainable Development. "It's 50 per cent more than we have now."

The idea of letting warming approach 2 degrees increasingly seems disastrous in this context.

Parts of the planet, like the Arctic, have already warmed beyond 1.5 degrees and are seeing alarming changes. Antarctica and Greenland, containing many feet of sea-level rise, are wobbling

It is universally recognised that the pledges made in Paris would lead to a warming far beyond 1.5 degrees - more like 2.5 or 3 degrees, or even more. And that was before the United States, the world's second-largest emitter, decided to try to back out.

At issue is what scientists call the "carbon budget": because carbon dioxide lives in the atmosphere for so long, there's only a limited amount that can be emitted before it becomes impossible to avoid a given temperature, like 1.5 degrees. And since the world emits about 41 billion tons of carbon dioxide per year, if the remaining budget is 410 billion tons (for example), then scientists can say we have 10 years until the budget is gone and 1.5 degrees is locked in.

Unless emissions start to decline - which gives more time. This is why scenarios for holding warming to 1.5 degrees require rapid and deep changes to how we get energy.

The window may now be as narrow as around 15 years of current emissions, but since we don't know for sure, according to the researchers, that really depends on how much of a margin of error we're willing to give ourselves.

And if we can't cut other gases - such as methane - or if the Arctic permafrost starts emitting large volumes of additional gases, then the budget gets even narrower.

"It would be an enormous challenge to keep warming below a threshold" of 1.5 degrees, says Shindell, bluntly. "This would be a really enormous lift."

So enormous, he said, that it would require a monumental shift toward decarbonisation. By 2030 - barely a decade away - the world's emissions would need to drop by about 40 per cent. By the middle of the century, societies would need to have zero net emissions. What might that look like? In part, it would include things such as no more gas-powered vehicles, a phase-out of coal-fired power plants and airplanes running on biofuels, he says.

And that's just the point - 1.5 degrees is still possible, but only if the world goes through a staggering transformation.

theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/climate-scientists-are-struggling-to-find-the-right-words-for-very-bad-news-20181005-p507yj.html

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We fucked


Don't have kids

Let the 3rd worlders run off the cliff

i read somewhere that part of paris agreement is letting china not to curb too much of its emissions because it is considered a developing country which from a plebe like me is kinda stupid being china is the factory of the world. if they are fucking serious there should be no exceptions.


It is a con because half of China's emissions come from making cheap shit for us. So, they are really our emissions in a sense. But, as long as they happen in China, they are not OUR emissions, and we can criticize China, while feeling good about ourselves.

Muh Government isn't gonna save you through more restrictions and taxes while it lowers the IQ of gen pop with more third world "immigrants", better tech and more advancements would serve you better

And that is why Trump disregarding that piece of shit agreement was a good idea. It wasn't meant to save the planet. It was meant to gain political power under the guise of saving the planet.

We've been on the edge of no return for decades now. How many warnings has it been Ice caps melting, acid rain, more hurricanes. It's the same shit that's preached just a different toilet.

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We need a good cull
Thanos was right

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LET'S KNEECAP THE WEST'S ECONOMY WHILE INDIA AND CHINA DUMP ALL THEIR WASTE INTO THE SEA AND SMOG INTO THE AIR!
GO PLANET!

DESIGNATED

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is he a villain complaining about climate change?


The earth has warmed before. Aren't you just being a pussy?

Maybe the Left are the baddies all along?

it isn't neccessary because climate change isn't fucking real but pollution IS and that still occurs and fucks up the planet. Artic warming is cause by artic exploration and the warming of the planet thermally in general in places close to the poles.

Barrow in alaska, murmansk in russia these are places which have no right to be settled as major conurbations. the soviet union,australia canada and the united states all added human activity along with artifical heating technology to these places and that's what massively disturbed the planet.

The problem has massively been in effect since the 1970s and the 1970s was the time when concorde was first in existence along with alot of secret airplanes which broke the ozone layer with speeds in the g forces, this includes the space exploration vehicles.

the united states along with the united kingdom seeking to move people into the technotronic age blamed this aberration on fossil fuels and the combustion engine and most stupidly on co2 which has been released in large amounts since the time of cavemen and their invention of fire.

the truth that concorde, soviet and american exploration of the artic and similar effects were truely to blame was massively covered up. the pollution had a bad effect and amplified this but the ozone layer and global warming was largely eliminated by the late 1990s just like mad cow disease.

concorde and the infected heifers were mainly thinned from the herd and the moral panic energy remains. perhaps 2017 will be an outbreak year like john titor predicted but all things must pass. and the evil that england and the rothschilds place on this earth will be defeated.

Is this a pasta?

Speaking in the 3rd person now johnny boy ?
Much sane,such normal,how not crack addict

...

Meanwhile China, India, Russia and other non white countries give no shit and continue to fuck up the enviroment

and idiot pasta to boot

Trump has it right
Though he has to lie about it
We are doomed, so parteeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!

luckily we don't live in jurassic era, I mean we had like over 2000ppm CO2 then, and surely that level would just boil the whole planet, oh wait, it didn't..

Bad!

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They have been saying this shit since the 80s and guess what? No ice age, no giant hurricanes that killed everyone, no ocean flooding the coasts due to ice melting, and no killer bees migrating from Africa to south America and on to the US to kill everyone either. It's all just bullshit to sell solutions to problems that don't exist.

Governments are greedy. Goyim should be paying carbon taxes. Who cares if it triples our electric bills? We're just plebs right?

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I, personally, want lot's of carbon. I love the stuff.

Climate scientists are Nazi's. Hitler developed global depopulation plan.

(((climate "scientists")))

doomer meme

I know how we can get rid of carbon emissions from fossil fuels. All we have to do is research Stanley Meyer's work on water fuel cells. The only problem is that oil tycoons like the Rockfellers might send a hitman to assassinate you for threatening their petrodollar. Are you a bad enough dude to take the challenge?

I live in a country with clean air, pristine unpolluted lakes and vast tracts of natural forest land, buy local, sort my rubbish, and commute using public transport.

Can I stop being blamed for Pajeet's problems yet?

nope. hope you're ready for pajeet to come shit on your lawn when their own country becomes inhospitable.

What the fuck even is that?

...

*rubs hands*
*laughs heartily*
*starts counting coins*

a self-solving problem

abandon all hope

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Instead of blaming everything on America and EU
how about we take a look at the biggest polluters South America, Africa and China
once that solved, maybe we can finally understand then that tiny percentage of our own pollution would have not solved the problem

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Besides, even if we WERE fucked climate wise without drastic changes, guess what? Unless someone is willing to go and kill all the shitkins, pajeets, and chinks, there's not a lot we can do. Africa, asia, and india are THE BIGGEST contributors to pollution and carbon emission. The US, and Europe cutting back to prevent global warming would be your grandma turning the thermostat down while the house is on fire.

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M. Bison was/is the same way.

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OY VEY!

SLIDE THIS GOIYM!

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Global warming / global cooling was all a fraud started long ago to boost an agenda, to milk people for more money by blaming their energy consumption and saying we need massive taxation and rations on how much we use. Modern feudalistic agenda. Its the (((bankers))) and (((energy subsidiaries))) behind all of it!

true news

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Big Co2 shills are scared of this news getting out.