/tsg/ Tanker Stock General

We can eat the oil edition

>Highlighted links
pastebin.com/yQQiZcTL
seekingalpha.com/article/4343722-talking-tanker-trade-podcast
seekingalpha.com/article/4346764-opportunities-in-tankers-interview-calvin-froedge

> Tanker education
investopedia.com/articles/investing/012316/crude-tankers-business-transporting-oil.asp
lawexplores.com/the-tanker-market-current-structure-and-economic-analysis/
mckinseyenergyinsights.com/resources/refinery-reference-desk/tanker/
euro-maritime.com/index.php/navigator?id=3080

>Maritime news
lloydslist.maritimeintelligence.informa.com/
marinevesseltraffic.com/2013/02/tanker-track.html
freightwaves.com/american-shipper
shipbrief.com/
crweber.com/ (no https)
pastebin.com/HpGZm3dG

>Companies
pastebin.com/TnN1aeQz

>Oil news
eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/global_oil.php (look at that V, lol)
oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/
spglobal.com/platts/en/commodities/oil
rystadenergy.com/newsevents/
nhentai.net/tag/oil/

>Oil futures
investing.com/commodities/

>Past earnings reports (alphabetical)
ASC: EST EPS $0.14, actual $0.20.
DHT: EST EPS $0.54, actual is $0.44 (divvy of $0.35).
EURN: EST EPS $0.86, actual $1.05 (divvy of $1.10).
INSW: EST EPS $1.45, actual $1.49.
NNA: EST EPS $0.00, actual $0.94.
OSG: EST EPS N/A (Q4, 2019 was $0.12)., actual $0.28.
STNG: EST EPS $0.49, actual $0.82.

> Earnings report(s) expected today
None. If I’m wrong, enlighten me.

> Upcoming earnings reports calendar
NAT on 5/18, not specified
SFL on 5/19, pre-market
TNK on 5/21, pre-market
FRO on 5/29, pre-market
TNP on 6/4, pre-market

>Another important date
May 19th, 2020 (you know why)
Keep an eye on the 14th, 15th, and 18th of May too.

Previous thread:

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great
gotta restart my brandon filter
HERE WE GO BOYS
THE FINAL SHAKEOUT HAS BEGUN
DIAMOND HANDS ARE NOT ENOUGH
FROM HERE ON OUT THE ONLY HANDS ALLOWED ARE
COLD
DEAD
HANDS

Circling in the drain
Circling in the drain
We are all rejoicing
Tankers circling in the drain

WHAT THE FUCK

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We can eat the oil
Kek, at this rate maybe that is all we can do. Overall positive so far today, bit mixed between all tankers. Let's hope!

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>hold to zero
no thanks i sold at pre market, i’ve had enough of this shitty sector, im moving my cash to a sector that has a chance for growth

lock in your losses, bro
THIS SHIT IS GOING DOWN

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Never become emotionally attached to a stock retard

Honestly the floor is probably around $5

UCO PUTS ARE UP 300% SINCE YESTERDAY
FUCKING HODL

You’re not looking at the one that affects tankers. WTI is holding strong and will only continue to inflict pain on storage companies yet isn’t strong enough to positively impact transportation.

sure thing, dude

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We place our trust in the skis of gylfi
Through ymir's blood they go

The whales land is an dangerous path
With the great wolf's fish our foe

Ugly, hooked nosed sons of fornjotr shall try to stop us
But the flow of whale wine must go on

Njord's breath will guide us to red embers of the harbour
And with our sea swords our wave horse shall keep on

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FRO & EURN survived the ritual opening dump. Did it they find support?

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You....are aware tankers do better when oil drops, right? That this is good, right?

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God damn.
Frobro here.
Someone go through the logic of why this will boom again?
Rates have plummeted back to 50k.
All reserves are pretty full worldwide.
Let's use Europe as an example.
Gonna spout some random numbers.

Normal situation:
Production 3 million barrels per day
Consumption 10 million barrels per day
Import 7 million barrels per day
Storage: Stays flat at 200 million barrels

COVID situation:
Production 3 million barrels per day
Consumption 5 million barrels per day
Import 5 million barrels per day
Storage: Increases by 3 million barrels per day to 400 million barrels.

Post-COVID situation:
Production 3 million barrels per day
Consumption 9 million barrels per day
Import 5 million barrels per day
Storage: Decreases by 1 million barrels per day to 200 million barrels over a 200 day period.

So why wouldn't demand for tankers not crater?
We're looking at a future decrease of 1 VLCC tanker less needed per day to supply the european market
This is going to happen worldwide. Once consumption outpaces production worldwide they're just going to lean on the massive reserves for a year or so and bring it down to a smaller size.
Production is going to stay low for at least a year. Low production means that not a lot of oil will need to be sailed over the seas.
Europe will consume domestic production first, russian pipeline production second and only resort back to tanker imports when the market is back in balance and the storage is back at normal levels.
This will happen everywhere.
Please correct me, as I said I hold a shitload of FRO and getting unsure about what I've done.

Meanwhile in reality

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yes
that is exactly what i am saying

Comfy divvies and good returns will come to you, but only if you reply "HOLD ON SEA CAT" in this thread
COLD
DEAD
HANDS

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Nevermind, me is stupid and misread because only just now started drinking coffee, please ignore.

I sure hope so, because things are looking good now.

Sorry.

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it's all good, matey
when this is over we'll get matching anchor tattoos

hold on sea cat

ACTIVATE IT MOTHER FUCKERS
BEHEAD ALL BRANDONS

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Yeah you’re right that our future isn’t bright but it’s still fun to speculate and hope that it goes back up. You don’t need to interrupt that you asshole.

Quick summary of what some of the companies cover.
>DHT
Total Fleet: 27
Focus: Crude Oil
>Eurn
Total Fleet: 75
Types: Crude oil, offshore
>fro
Total: Fleet 69
Types: Crude Oil
>nna
Total: 46
Types: Crude Oil, Product (Petro), Chemical
>stng
Total: 138
Type: Product
>tk (includes tnk, tgp, too)
Total: 130
Type: Crude Oil, Product, Natural gas, offshore
>tnp
Total: 58
Type: Crude Oil, Product, Natural gas, offshore

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HOLD ON SEA CAT

he's a liar
"plummeted" to fucking DOUBLE their normal rate and that shit is going to go up again because storage is literally running out WORLD WIDE

No, it means that of all available spot days (e.g. if you have 100 spots and the quarter is 90 days, that's 9000 spot-days total), 66% are fixed. Note that fixed is not guaranteed, the subject needs to be lifted for it to really go into effect. Usually that's about a month after the subject is fixed.
On the other hand, the 110k rate they're claiming already discounts the possibility of delinquency (which is a common issue in the tankers industry), and as demand is lower than expected while cuts aren't as much as expected, delinquency rates should be lower than normal.

>plummet
The rate for a lot of these companies to profit is like 15k a day. Even 50k is a strong profit margin.

that’s your high for the day get ready for the bleed out to $6.30

High volume green on FRO:)

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Yes we know all these stocks are going to zero but theres nothing wrong with losing 5 or 10 thousand having fun. Lighten up buzzkill

HOLD ON SEA CAT

WE ARE CARVING THROUGH THESE ROUGH SEAS LIKE A KNIFE THROUGH BUTTER, PRAISE THE GODS!

Actually, short term future and medium term is kind of bright and may initiate a supercycle. That current rate is STILL very good, extremely so from the norm of like 15-16k. Second, will rise due to oil going down soon. Third, supply soon to fill and use tankers as floating storage more. Fourth, many have not fully employed their fleets yet. And fifth and most importantly, many vessels are near scrap age which means soon as this crisis is over and rates go back to normal they will scrap ships to reduce tanker supply and keep the rates high. Demand will be propped up after this by shortening the supply of tankers, they decreased heavily during this crater because after the last super contango they made a ton of new ships and increased supply. The order for new ships right now is at historic lows, and scrap dates soon, meaning supply will be low af and rates high still.

Wew, lockdown v2, oil never coming back.

HOLD ON SEA CAT

Aye, brothers sharing the hot iron on the cold salty sea. We are going to make it brother, and then we will have all the rum we can ever share together after.

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bros..
is this it?

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we'll see, brandon

post what the price is now, retard

i've been calling for a fake pump to shake out the last of weary retail before the real pump on monday

Tankers greening. I think it's happening.

Five weeks and five ways to profit

Try to stay focused on the fundamentals people (because I put the fun in fundamental get it?

1. Contango almost gone
2. Daily rates crashing to all time lows
3. Dumb money has already left and wont be back
4. Tanklets dont understand dividends
5. Tanklets dont understand that stocks value are based on future earnings
6. Brandon told them much of this and they didn't listen and already lost money; now mad at all Brandons
7.No catalyst for rising stock price
8. 2nd qtr earnings not good
9. 3rd qtr and beyond losses as far as you can see
10. Excess ships will be scrapped setting stage for a weak recovery in 2027
11. When the board bagholders capitulate we will get a 30% bounce
11.5 this will happen in 5 to 6 weeks and this general will disappear that's your sign
12. Then down to zero on bankruptcy by June 2021

None of this is refutable

ok, brandon

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MOAR RED

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GO STNG GO

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BRANDON ON SUICIDE WATCH

>Market dumping
>Tankers mooning

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>suicide on a dead cat bounce of less than 1%
at least you’ve lowered your expectations

t. retard with gun to the head

we gotta pump fast before circuit breakers
i think oil is going to drag everything down with it
apart from tankers
they won't be able to sweep it under the rug anymore

what is most disgusting is that we need to watch donald trump's twitter to see if he's going to try to fuck us yet again

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Look at the 1 minute on oil futures, it's like a red staircase

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Everything is red except tankers and SCO, and it's only just begun

Those digits.

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OOOOOOOOO

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Tankers confirmed white man's cause.

I'd rather tankers tank more. I want moar FRO on the cheap.

>is this it?
Not yet.
Friday we'll see.