Roulette Strategy

Would this strategy work at roulette?

To start you would need at least $10,000 just to be safe.
1. Wait until there have been at least three of the same color in a row.
2. Then pick the opposite color and start out at maybe a $50 bet
4. If you lose, the next bet make it $150, to recoup your original losses and still profit
5. Then each bet increases if you lose, so if you lost a 4th time you would want to bet at least $250 to recoup the money you've already lost. This is why it's safe to have $10,000 on the extremely unlikely circumstance that there's like 10+ of the same color in a row.

In theory, the statistical likelyhood of there being further consecutive colors becomes more and more unlikely. The most I've ever seen at a casino was like 7 blacks in a row before going red. So if you just kept betting red it would eventually switch back. Is there any reason why people don't do this?

Attached: roulette.jpg (1200x800, 247.35K)

Other urls found in this thread:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy#Monte_Carlo_Casino
magoosh.com/statistics/what-are-independent-events/#:~:text=Coin flips: A classic example,A random coin toss.
math.stackexchange.com/questions/2792298/is-each-spin-of-a-roulette-wheel-independent/2792321
twitter.com/NSFWRedditGif

Don’t gamble it’s for boomers anyway

Are you being serious? Or are you actually fucking retarded?

That isn’t how probability works

Fair warning OP:
Your assumptions about probability are wrong. You are way dumber than you think you are at this moment.
If you gamble you will lose.

actually that is flawed logic, the statistical likelihood of it hitting red or black will always be 50 percent, previous hits have no impression on the next hit, its like the coin flipping thing, its always 50/50 no matter what happened previously, any time you would get it right would just be a random 50/50 correct guess.

No.

I heard playing the side where its separated into thirds have good chances. Also heard number 17

the chance is actually significantly high of being wiped with 10 blacks or 10 reds in a row

Amazing bait

>en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)

It’s actually 49.5% for red and black, there is a green color which accounts for 1%

Sure. You can win short term... but the long term, you will always lose when it comes to playing roulette, unless youre cheating somehow. The house always wins- its simple math.

google or wiki it - gambler's fallacy.

SOURCE: personal experience.

lmfao thats all bullshit superstitition, all numbers have the exact same probability, the house wins because they know you will keep playing and eventually lose, they take advantage of greed, the smartest bet is the red or black, that is actually fair, but they know people want to make good odds thanks to their greed, so they will bet smaller amounts on completely random numbers thinking they may hit it eventually and make more in the long run. They dont, they lose way more slowly and get sucked dry. Thats vegas.

It's only 50/50 if it's one roll. If you were to bet someone $100 you could flip a coin heads 10 times in a row it would not be a 50/50 probability.

All on double digits

oh i completely forgot, as you can tell, I dont gamble so i forgot about that detail in roulette, I do love playing poker though, much more of a skill based game, plus you play other players, no big scary casino that knows it will win eventually through statistics and trillions in research on taking your money.

Tried this once on monopoly live.
Started off with 10k.
Everytime 2x didnt hit 3 times in a row I would put in a solid 100bucks, dont hit, martingale, dont hit, martingale, was on the edge of my seat when it didnt hit 2x so many fucking times and i had to bet everything i had left. It did work for a solid 3 days, was up by 30k, shoulda cashed out apperently, anyways i thought i had it all figured out and i was going to a million bucks at this rate.
But yeah got fucked by "probability" at some point, chased the dragon for 2 years after that, about 200k down the drain. Came up with a bunch of different strategies, found out how to exploit the motor, sometimes got greedy and things put me on tilt, had a notebook to track my emotions and what the end result of my actions were etc..
Listen to me when I tell you this.
Gambling is for peasants. Dont ever go near that shit

Whole bunch of losers itt

I think they did a study and like 80% of gambling addicts think god is helping them lol

but you cant bet like that in a casino, you cant bet that you will hit something more than once in a row, each play is started and closed after one roll of the roulette table, so that nuance is mute in this instance

I tried it on satoshidice years ago. It kind of works but then you eventually get wiped out. Having an actual 50/50 chance instead of 49.5% would make it a fun game of chicken instead of a process where you always eventually lose.

You're forgetting about the 0 which is neither red or black. Remember, the house always wins.

that's why you wait until there have been 3-4 blacks in a row before even betting red at all

People have gotten killed for using this strategy. It’s called a martingale. Don’t try it. It’s not illegal but casinos do not appreciate people who do this at all, for obvious reasons.

This is why martingale is a stupid strategy. Yes, you'll probably get away with it for a little while. But the probability that you'll hit a losing streak that will completely bankrupt you due to martingale's exponential betting very quickly goes to one.

And how does this benefit you? It is impossible to predict the outcome based on the previous outcomes. How could you know when to place a big bet and profit? Your chances of winning will always be slightly less than 50%, so that the house is mathematically certiain to make a profit long-term.

>statistically
user look up the gambler’s fallacy. It’s probability and statistics 101

Instead of gambling, look into starting your own online casino site. It's easier than you'd think. Become the house.

It's the Martingale system and I have used it in the past but stopped because im not turning up to a casino with $10000 in cash and most places have limits

I used to use my initial plus 2x so would win significant amounts the longer the streak lasted but I wiped out more than once.

Its not 50/50 because of 0 and if you think the odds increase on you winning the longer it goes on you're wrong. I've seen black 12 times in a row and it will fuck you good if you turn up with thousands playing that method

>en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy#Monte_Carlo_Casino

I wonder if you could train a dealer from birth to turn the roulette wheel with such precision that he can control where the ball will land, would take decades of practice but I bet its not impossible.

The probability is extremely low but it also doesn't mean that either result actually affects the "randomness" of the wheel

you're still able to deploy this strategy just not forever

The 50/50 rule assumes the mechanism is perfect. In reality, four reds in a row makes it more likely you will see another red. When pure probability tells you one thing, and reality shows you something else, it is rare that reality corrects itself to conform with your assumptions.

this is actually flawless. delete this thread now op, we only have so long before they figure out this loophole and close it.

lmfao dude it makes no difference, who are you placing this imaginary bet with? You cant just make a bet with yourself that you will hit black 5 times in a row and then if it ever hits 4 in a row, you switch on yourself and bet red, its the dumbest idea ever. You are betting based on one roll that resets every time. You placing some imaginary restriction in your head is again just superstition and makes no difference in reality.

I suppose you think you could flip a coin until you see 4 heads in a row, then drive to your buddy's house and offer to bet on a coinflip with that coin and bet on tails since its due, right?

this is either some of the worst 14yo larp ive ever seen or some truly megamind bait

>Your chances of winning will always be slightly less than 50%
Yes but the chance of 10 reds in a row is also lower than 3 reds in a row. Both perspectives have predictive power. In reality only one outcome is possible and from that objective perspective statistics are irrelevant.

$5 bet it's tails.
if not then bet $15
if not then bet $40

Eventually it will go tails

Since you're all retarded:

magoosh.com/statistics/what-are-independent-events/#:~:text=Coin flips: A classic example,A random coin toss.

math.stackexchange.com/questions/2792298/is-each-spin-of-a-roulette-wheel-independent/2792321

actually no it isnt, the chance of 10 reds in a row in the game of roulette is not lower than 3 reds, the chances of both happening are each 50%, your problem is you keep creating this imaginary row bet, there is no row bet, it resets every time, the reality is that the probability of even 100 reds in a row is still 50 percent when you play the game in a casino, a casino will never bet on more than one roll at a time, so imaginary continuation bets have no basis on the reality of the actual bet that happens only one time per roll.