Almost every single fuck investing in crypto is thinking about the stock to flow model

It's going to happen exactly because every is expecting it to happen. That is how our reality manifests.

>what will happen if this model fails somehow?
there is only victory or death. I'm holding/accumulating btc because it is the one chance I have to distinguish myself and accrue wealth for my posterity. If Btc fails, I fail.

>all of the people that know about the stock to flow chart believe it.
You seriously overestimate how many people are invested in this market.

The model already failed in the past if you're thinking of it as a binary thing. It's modeling one of the factors in the long term price formation. The price can always go wherever but it won't, it will follow the s2f meme graph roughly, not because it's a law but because that's just what the net effect of all the factors that are playing out tend to result in.. roughly.. on a log chart and anything rough on a log chart is pretty rough.
>Panic mass selling?
We are legions of steel hands forged in the fires of a million dumps. The tribes of these lands have forgotten what panic feels like. If you don't offer a reasonable price my coins stay mine.

Dude the people who follow crypto twitter and post in forums and all that BS are a tiny minority. The normies don't read into price theory at all, they FOMO or take the advice of their boomer uncle.

Most people don't know about stock-to-flow, and most people who know about it don't believe in it, otherwise we'd have have 95% holding rate and Bitcoin would just appreciate in a long line forever. People still see Bitcoin as a very risky investment, and that's how we're going to make our money.

tl;dr, just follow the halving chart dummy, easiest money of your life.

Fair enough

do you know how many normies are shilling this model?

>The tribes of these lands have forgotten what panic feels like
This is somehow true, i don't feel any pain when i'm in red.

Found the redditor who doesn't get crypto.

>stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow. >stock to flow.

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If they're on crypto YouTube or Twitter or whatever, they're not normies. Normies are the ones who completely checked out during the 2018 bear market. They'll come back in droves once Bitcoin breaks its ATH, along with new people. This time they'll be preceded by institutions though, and their investment is what will really make the market pop these next three months.

You think the Boomer who is going to be convinced by his financial adviser to put 1% in Bitcoin knows anything about stock-to-flow? Lmao. And you know what? Even if everyone knew about it, their awareness of the theory doesn't negate the mechanistic factor of Bitcoin's increasing scarcity. The only real question about stock-to-flow is whether *demand* will increase alongside. If anything, the more people who think they'll get rich with Bitcoin, the better.

You're also forgetting the overwhelming effects of greed and fear, which will delude even those people who believe adamantly in the halving boom-bust cycles and affect their decisions.

This stuff isn't a matter of simple sentiment. There are tons of variables flying around and colliding with each other, the most volatile ones being human emotion.

tl;dr, just follow the halving chart dummy, easiest money of your life.

>tl;dr, just follow the halving chart dummy, easiest money of your life.

pray tell, what do you think precious metals are going to do once the easy pickin's are gone?

>If they're on crypto YouTube or Twitter or whatever, they're not normies. Normies are the ones who completely checked out during the 2018 bear market. They'll come back in droves once Bitcoin breaks its ATH, along with new people. This time they'll be preceded by institutions though, and their investment is what will really make the market pop these next three months.

they will overflow into BCH or other cryptos when bitcoin fails to process 1,000+ transactions per second. then bitcoin will lose #1 marketcap and who fucking knows what will happen then. probably nothing good.

Not him but found the idiot who can only call someone a name because they don't understand crypto. Ethereum is the oil of all crypto. All the pajeet faggots talk about your shitcoins and ETH KILLERS yet you continue to loss money and invest in low value coins because you have no money and shouldn't be gambling with crytpo to begin with.

Gold will continue to appreciate, then slow down as Bitcoin absorbs its use case. It'll get ratio'd to oblivion, basically, as new generations pile into its competitor. Silver is toast.

I mean, by 2024 Bitcoin will be twice as scarce as gold, and by 2028 it will be four times as scarce. By 2032? Eight times. That's in addition to being far more efficient and portable. The one thing gold has going for it is 3000 years of trust, so it's not going to die overnight. But this is its final century as the primary store of value for human civilization. Real estate will also have value drained, but since it has a practical use outside of storing value, and it's one of the only assets on earth that has a hard cap (the other two being time and Bitcoin), I expect it to continue to appreciate against other assets, especially if the population keeps rising.

I saw a tweet today that said basically "divide all the wealth in the world by 21 million, and that's Bitcoin." I tend to agree. It's the monetary equivalent of a black hole. Nothing will escape its pull.

at least, if there are enough people trying to get in i feel that this is a serious possibility. exchanges generally do not like forks, but most of them support bch. even ignoring the small block size, bitcoin's DAA doesn't adjust quickly enough to cope with a sudden increase in transactions either.

Has Ethereum lost its position as the number one smart contract platform due to its awful congestion?

Transaction speed isn't going to kill Bitcoin. I put this line of FUD slightly above "miner capitulation" in terms of plausibility, but that still leaves it in the realm of flat-out goofy.

nobody really needs bitcoin specifically. it is not a physical resource. it can be replaced by any other reasonably liquid/popular crypto.

bitcoin is currently operating at about 3 transactions per second. it is not in any way "under load", and it never has been. neither has ethereum.

i also expect that exchanges will nudge people toward more scalable cryptos as they don't really want to buffer transactions or pass the cost of high transaction fees along.

It won't. Digital scarcity can't be re-invented. Read The Bitcoin Standard, he goes into it in detail.

there is no such thing as digital scarcity, or if there is, its consequences are minor compared to real scarcity.