Asking someone NOT emotionally invested in this election:

>HANGING CHADS

This is from an outside perspective (Australian).
Looking at the facts here,
1. There are a lot more faggots passionate about trump getting out of office this time round because those people didn't actually expect him to win.
2. His handling of the coronavirus and riots earlier in the year would be a big factor in how people vote as they need someone to blame for all this shit happening.
3. Joe Biden has been peddling the "memba obama? i membaaa" mentality which no doubt will chime a note for some.
4. As said
this is purely from an outside perspective, in the grand scheme i dont care either way no matter what Bitcoin goes up from this so do with this information whatever you want. But I would say this time round Trump has a decent chance of losing, but it will be very close.

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every state goes red.

electoral college landslide 2020

Spaniard here, biden looks like might die any second, trump is the only real option i guess.

Hi user, I'm a statistics nerd first I bet on Trump early on because the electoral college has always leaned towards Republicans in the presidential election and I see Joe Biden as a candidate who's major appeal is not being Trump and that's not great. I see Trump locking up Florida ( his push in the Venezuelan and Cuban Expat community is being really ignored) and has a strong chance of taking Pennsylvania ( rural, Pennsylvania being more MAGA and having growing voter registration). These two were enough to get me to put my money on Trump but I'm not willing to double down on it.

He will lose and go out with a whimper.

It should be noted that EVEN IF the polls are skewed against Trump to the same extent they were in 2016, Biden still ends up with like 300 electoral votes.

Then factor in that voter turnout is way up which is always good for democrats and bad for Republicans plus mail in ballots make people who probably might not have voted before vote which is once again good for democrats and bad for Republicans

>Biden is +10 over Trump
OH TRUMPIES.....
HAHAHAHAHAHA

From what I've heard it's only a (somewhat dubious) broad popularity poll that's putting Biden ahead by several points. All other indicators (satisfaction, economic figures, etc) give Trump a smaller, though comfortable lead. Other popularity based polls conducted by non-American pollsters also point more towards Trump, so there might be a shy Tory effect due to the BLM riots and antifa fucking about.

Non ironic answer, I think Biden will win. I don’t care what pol says, they’re biased as fuck

Both candidates had equal viewership numbers for their town halls, which was shocking to me as Trump has been their #1 entertainment meme for 5 years. Elections can't be won by not being the other guy and I agree with that but boomers might see themselves in Biden.
Thnak you for the analysis fren

you literally get fired if anyone finds out you support trump lmao. of course there's a 'shy tory effect', half of trump voters would never admit to it because we don't want to lose our jobs and become homeless/blacklisted from employment. this is going to be a landslide victory for trump, democrats will riot like mad.

Anti Trump groups are paying thousands for bill boards in the centre of New York, a state that is always blue. That should tell you everything you need to know.

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EUROFAG here
Trump will win, every one even here is pro-Trump, he is the people's choice, only the elites are pro Biden. And the media.

I'd be actually surprised if Trump doesn't win with all that BLM shit currently happening

Bettin big on trump

We’ll see a bull run if he wins anyway

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What you heard is wrong. Biden is leading Trump on all issues INCLUDING the economy now. And then of course the most important issue to voters is the coronavirus which given trumps huge failure on, makes him super unpalatable. Idk how anyone objectively looks at this situation and thinks it looks even close for Trump.

>and that's their problem
>and that's a good thing
im sick of this shit
>Jared Kushner
>Raised in a Modern Orthodox Jewish family,[13] Kushner graduated from the Frisch School, a Modern Orthodox yeshiva high school, in 1999.
OFC EVERY FUCKING TIME

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The media and rich elite are pro trump as fuck. It is literally a psy op taking advantage of underdog syndrome so the masses actually welcome this leader to shed regulations and line the pockets of the wealthy.

This. But the ensuing civil conflict(driven by Trump) will be awful for the market

>the media and rich elite are pro Trump
Imagine being this brain dead that you can utter such a sentence and actually believe it. EVEN THE CHAMBER OF COMMERCE won't donate to Republicans because they want a dem senate, house and presidency. How do you square away that the most powerful business lobbying group(probably the most powerful lobby) which has historically only donated to Republicans has now flipped to the democrats with your view that the rich elite love Trump?

This. Whole lot of confidence, not a lot of energy. The enthusiasm is not there like 2016, especially from the moderates. I can't see Trump winning, it will be a narrow Biden victory.

I think a lot of outward trump supporters are going to secretly vote for Biden. Best of both worlds, they get their mistake out of office, don't have to admit they picked wrong, and they get to shit on the POTUS for the next 4 years.

But didn't Hillary lead by 60% just like Biden is doing now? or even worse Hillary was leading by 80% before the final day?

Holy fuck you are way off.
1. No those assholes are just the loudest and we cant wait to shut them the fuck up. Again.
2. Chinks caused corona. No one whose sane blames the president.
3. Kek what the fuck do you even think Trumps win was if not a referendum on Obama? The bloom has long since faded from that rose. I dare wager to say not even present day Obama could beat Trump. A lot of people waking up to the harsh reality that after all the pretty speeches and the media blowing him everyday that he really did fuck all.
5. Wont be close at all. Bigger win than last time. Cap this post.

Fucked the numbering but ehhh you get it.

Who says the most important issue is the virus and more importantly are you unaware that most Americans are short sighted babies who really buy into the idea that an emergency shutdown to prevent an unknown viral outbreak is somehow a tyrannical over reach and they are voting. I think the shy tory/Trump/quietly conservative number is high enough to keep Trump a likely winner still.

Difference faggots thought Hillary was 100% going to win and didn't vote. Won't happen again (in theory).

again, i am just giving you the perception outside of the US.

Trump can still win, but in order to do so, he will need to thread the needle, because he won't win the popular vote. The only way Trump can win is by turning out the dumbest Americans in key states. It's possible, but it'll be like drawing pocket aces twice in a row,.

>2351362
You're correct. Trumptards and anyone believing the media is anti Trump is a huge retard. Trump even get's easier questions lol.

DO YOU BELIEBE IN QQ??

No. There is no benefit of being an outward Trump supporter when you're not, especially in the current climate when you can be easily doxed by the left. The core right and Trump base will still vote for Trump, but the moderates that got swept up in the energy of 2016 will probably just vote Biden. I don't think many people actually like Biden, I think many are just voting against Trump.
I'm not talking about polls, just the feel on the ground, but as says, many dems thought it was a sure win in 2016 and didn't vote. Dems are doing their best to get people to actually vote this time, another reason Trump will lose.

I'm not talking social media when I mean TrumpTurncoats, I mean more the people at work who are boomer tier who swear up and down Trump isn't a huge mistake but they're having a rough time believing it themselves.
On the flipside, I don't want 4 more of Trump but my portfolio is screaming at me to vote for him.