Deep down inside you know the polls are accurate. When Fox News and the New York Times Both agree that Biden is +10 in all the swing states, you know Trump is going to get slammed.
This is a map based on current polling. Notice how the shittiest states are the Trump holdouts.
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If you’re so confident Texas will go blue bet on in either Canada or the UK you’ll make great money. Because not even the bookies agree with you. But you won’t.
Did you not learn a fucking thing 4 years ago?
Where can you bet?
Pretty confident that the runaway virus will be the straw that broke the camel’s back.
>BUT THE POLLS WERE WRONG IN 2016 SO SURELY THEY'RE WRONG AGAIN
Hello gambler's fallacy
Democrats are 4/7 to win Texas. Republicans are 5/2. I wouldn’t advise you to take that bet. Even in a worse case scenario trump wins TX.
>Even in a worse case scenario trump wins TX.
Why? Evidence suggests otherwise.
Polls said Hillary was going to win.
Spoiler alert. She lost.
Fuck off you dumb ape
Imagine thinking Democrats actually have a chance after these race riots.
Well obviously it doesn’t you absolute dimwit. Otherwise the bookies would have him favourite to win. Why would they give democrats such good odds they’d loose a ton of money. Honestly the fact people with such a low intellect like you can vote is honestly scary.
Cool, still voting trump
No, that's not exactly it. The whole "polls are retarded" argument we're making is based in the bounteous arrogance of the left -- that they are destined for moral and societal supremacy. Since 2016, that arrogance has grown, not shrunk.
The left are "magical" thinkers. That makes them bad with data.
HAHA still voting for Trump
That's not gambler's fallacy he was simply pointing how you can't trust the polls, especially after how wrong they were in 2016. It's a question of validity not probability.
Checked. user, let him bet on the Democrats wining Texas please. Just look how much money he can win if they actually, finally, win.....
still voting trump haha
Deep down i know the opposite of all that shit you said. Svt
>bad actors repeating bad actions is a fallacy
>the shittiest states
I bet you haven't been to a single one.
>based on polling of who supports Donald Trump
>everyone who does not support Trump (((will))) vote Biden
>who is a democrat again?
>???
Still voting for Biden?
strawpoll.me
>SC goes blue
Lol
Fox always puts the Republican down a few points.
It gives a sense of urgency to the base.
The left tends to overstate on how well they are doing because the dems have a defeatist attitude by and large and get demoralized easily.
>When Fox News and the New York Times Both agree that Biden is +10
>has more than 40% democrat nationally
What is proves actually is that FOX is just as neocon as the rest of the MSM is neolib.
Boomers don't understand this.
The polls are being gamed. Again.
Briefly:
The latest CNN poll
>CNN admitted over-sampling blacks in the first prargraph at a 19.8% margin instead of the 11.9% margin that voted in 2018--a 60% oversample of the black vote.
>They also polled Dems at a 32% margin and Republicans at only a 25% margin. The real figures nationwide are 31% registered Dems and 30% registered Republicans (April 2020 numbers.)
The recent Harvard/Harris poll:
>1,886 registered voters polled were adjusted to create the following demographics:
>Democrats: 34%
>Republicans: 22%
>Independents: 33%
As I noted above, registered Republicans nationwide are 30%, not 22%
Last week's Fox poll, done by Braun Research iirc:
>They proportioned the number of phone surveys per state to the state's population, thus insuring that massive, deep blue California and similar New York and other heavily populated Northeastern states would work together to game the low population red states. You know, how elections would be if we didn't have the electoral college.
They're known for doing their polls this way and of course, every time, the Republican candidate is disproportionately down.
Now take your corrupt polling agencies and shove them up your ass, faggot.
They never get the independent vote right too.
Trump won them by 7% in 2016 and without a relevant 3rd party run he'll win at least 10 to 15%.
>What is proves actually is that FOX is just as neocon as the rest of the MSM is neolib.
What this proves is that Fox is baiting for clicks and views.
The main issue with any poll for a state like Texas which any person with a degree background that taught them advanced statistics is the sheer size. A sample of 3,000 voters from Texas despite it being adjusted for registered voters and independents and different income levels and ethnicities is the sheer margin of error. You cannot hope to extrapolate the results of a poll of 3,000 people to give you an accurate representation of the overall voting of the second biggest state in the union where upwards of 10,000,000 people will be voting.
No shit, so is every online media outlet.
>AAAHHHHHHHHHHHHH AN ASTEROID IS GOING TO KILL US ALL
>7th paragraph: it will pass about 5 million miles from Earth
It's their business model.
Lol Indiana going blue
This is the map
Lol and WV. Do these people honestly believe that? If WV goes blue I’ll eat my own shit and post it on this board.
If Trump does well enough to flip MN or ME he certainly won’t loose PA or MI.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
what a faggot