This morning Trump had 51 red dots, now he has 52
Trump Gained A DOT!
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the polls lie more than girlfriends of basedboys after they go out with tyrone
Yeah, I'm thinking he's back.
Biden is favored to win by globalists, not the hard-working middle class.
>predictions
His position changed in Ohio it seems
LETS FUCKING GOOOOOOOOO!!!
Where’s the sauce bongalong?
its 538
this dot things are retarded because each one of them is just a feasible electoral map that can happen.
all it means is that since Trump has a lot of small states and Biden's main strenght is in the big states like New York and California Biden is able to gain a lot more ground in theory while numerally Trump doesn't since most states already vote for him
Plus it's biased garbage. The best case scenario for Trump on that doesn't even have him winning Virginia, a state that Bush won in 2000, but the best case scenario for Biden has him winning states like Indiana and Tennesse who would rather get nuked than elected a Democrat
youtu.be
Here's a video that makes it obvious, although the author goes along with it
not those dot, the dots on my pic each represent 0.25% of a chance of winning, donald was on 12.75% this morning, now he's on a solid 13%
I am a Trump supporter in Pennsylvania and wherever I go I only see Biden signs. In 2016 I saw a lot of Trump signs, but now those same houses either have their old Trump signs crossed out with spray paint or brand new, fancy Biden signs.
This is really disheartening for me and for us. We really need to win Florida. The Cuban population in Miami used to be for Trump, but now that Trump has actually built most of the wall they think they'll be next. No chance he wins Florida now and, if I'm being honest, I'm probably going to vote for Biden. He supports the average American guy like myself and I can just trust him. He's a sharp guy that you can trust. Not many of those around anymore. Joe will fight for America and bring back our jobs. And he's got a killer resume. 50 years in the government at the highest levels? Ummm, yes please.
It feels so weird to say this. It's actually kind of refreshing. Haha, yeah. I'm ridin' with Biden. Feels really good to get off my chest actually.
Can I steal this copypaste to troll others?
Besides the retarded copypastas, who genuinely believes Biden will win because 'polls say so'. Registration numbers preceding voting have been massively in Trump's favor compared to 2016 (when he was up, but not overwhelmingly so) and ballot returns are even more favorable to the point where New Mexico will probably flip. If New Mexico is flipping, Arizona and Florida and Pennsylvania are all solidly red. It's fucking over, just accept it, Trump wins.
Lame pasta but as a Cuban here in Miami, I can confirm we all hate illegal Mexicans and love trump
The dots and the example maps mean nothing, theyre randomly pulled from a portion of the 40k simulations. It's just visual fluff.
Only relevant part is the percentage.
The only place I see Biden signs are in the trash
This guy is such an overrated faggot, he predicted Obama winning every swing state except Arizona in 2008 and everyone thought he was some political genius.
the dots in my pic count for 0.25%
>That hairline
Holy shit kek
You can say there is a 99% chance of something and technically still not be wrong when the outcome happens to land in the 1%.
There's no way to prove they were right or wrong unless it's an event that can be repeated many times.
What we can do is look at the method's success rate for other events.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com
Or you can just call academics pussy lib nerd shit invented by Jews and go back to being an ape.
I can't wait for election day. I feel like a kid waiting for Christmas to come.
Watching the absolute seethe when Trump wins might be one of the highlights of my entire life.
does their method factor in that Jews control the media and use it to promote fake news and fake polls?
These odds are way, way different than Real Clear Politics. This is intentional. Trump's odds of winning are much better than Cuck Silver wants to admit, but he wants to imply that there was election interference if Trump does win by claiming how "unlikely" it was. He's literally admitted this on Twitter.
>2008: Nate is awesome, his predictions are so accurate!
>2016: Wait uh, actual Nate doesn’t make predictions so technically he can never be wrong, checkmate losers
Faggot Jew. The entire point of this stat shit is predictive. If it didn’t supposedly hold predictive value than why the fuck does anybody read it? It is clearly meant to be predictive. But then the globohomo longnoses pretend they didn’t predict anything when it blows up in their faces
The media is faggots. you are faggots. commit minecraft rope
Youre retarded, silvers always been more bullish on trump than others.
You're just too dumb to understand this simple concept.
The fact that you need conspiracy theories to simplify and make sense of the world proves how you're an ape living amongst humans and holding us all back from improving society.
THE FIRE RISES
POGGERS MIGAPEDES WHY CAN'T WE STOP WINNING?
Nate Plutonium had Clinton at 89% victory at her peak. So, right in line with the others. He was simply smart enough to tighten up faster right at the end to look like less of a manipulative fraud.
If you're right - this must, logically, be the end of the polling industry. They've gone absolutely balls out on this.