Britfag here and out of the loop AF

fpbp

Oh for fucks sake

100

It’s looking more and more likely that he’ll lose as we approach election day. Let’s be real for a minute, there is no way the polls are as wrong as it was in 2016. There is no way they are risking their credibility that is already underwater with the population. They know that if they mess up with polling they’ll never be trusted again even by npcs. The political establishment and mainstream media has done an amazing job making sure Trump is not reelected. Literally everything that has happened in 2020 from COVID to civil unrest has destroyed his chances and benefited Joe Biden. Please guys stop with the mental gymnastics and realize that Trump is headed to defeat.

i think he wins again easily
the dems couldve had an ez win but they cut down all their other potential candidates so they can have their killary candidate

Probability is high blue blood user. Major media outlets running the same Alphabet Agency script as 2016 because nothing else is working for them.

> What are the actual chances he gets another 4 years?

At 96.5%.

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repeating MSM topic points like the good shill you are.

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Who cares lol

Most rational post in Zig Forums in ages

basically the only things you can go off is the ground game & how badly they're trying to shut anything negative about Biden down.

Trump will win.

YOOOO, can I get the uncensored version of this?

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100%

Just said the exact same thing to my wife today

Most entertaining person on TV, la.

Better than what the media will tell you. If our own domestic media is buggered, the BBC hasn't a chance at understanding. The polls are mostly garbage, as any poll saying Biden up in a state like Florida by double digits are full of shit. No one wins Florida by more than a cunt hair and Florida is often the sign of how things will go throughout the night. Granted, it has voted for someone in the past who didn't turn out to be POTUS (George HW Bush in 1992 when Bill Clinton and Ross Perot were running), but whoever wins Florida will usually tell you how the night will go.

Biden is effectively having to play defensively as if Trump wins what is called "The Sun Belt", all he needs is one of the states in "The Rust Belt" and he wins (assuming he wins all of Nebraska's Electoral Votes and 1 of Maine's).

The key states for The Sun Belt are NC, GA, FL and AZ. Anyone telling you Texas goes blue this cycle is a load of bollocks. Any activity by the Biden campaign in TX is to help down ballot races such as for senate or house of rep.

Even if he wasn't to win AZ, if he snags PA or two rustbelt states(MI,WI,MN), Biden is done. AZ has had issues given California continually fucks over the country.

Trump's had alot of bad shit happen during his term with some mis-steps but it isn't entirely his fault.

>statespoll.com/post/632004971346411520/presidential-election-2020-electoral-college-map

Right now this guy has it at 275 EV for Trump, and I'd argue this is better than pollsters doing coke lines at media institutions. Trump will most likely lose popular vote, but win electoral college and retain presidency.

I would literally have less confidence Trump wins if the polls we're like, Biden is up by +4 points.

This retarded shit of Biden is up +14 is just fake and gay. You can tell they are massively compensating. You know the second Trump declares victory with like 310 electoral college votes, itll be another round of "this is impossible, russia must have interfered".

WIthout corruption 100%, with corruption 50%.

>The cowboys around here are all affectionately calling him "Rawhide Joe."

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They already are doing "muh Russia" again given they are pushing headlines about poor cybersecurity in swing states. Several Trafalgar polls have key states with Margin of Error.

Seethe bitches. Nate bronze brings the answer

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He is going to be completely BTFO and it is going to be because White voters don't show up for him. And it isn't because they like niggers -- those people were already turning out this time and last time.

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Incumbents only lose if they are unpopular in their own party. Trump won 94% of the primary vote, has 94% approval in his party, 40% approval among Independents, and his general approval is only 3% behind where Obama's was wen he got reelected.

The Az senate race is helping Biden. The republican candidate is hated.

80/20 TRUMP
Enjoy the salt fest Anons

Fourmoreyears

Poor effort. I don't want a bite of pasta, I demand the whole bowl.

I see split ticket more likely to be honest. Biden has Latino enthusiasm problems. I would have agreed with almost certainty that McSally goes down to Kelly but I think its more competitive given the SCOTUS appointment.

The race to watch will be Michigan, do not count out John James, especially if Trump carries Michigan.

go look up Baris, barnes, democracy institute, tralfager, and cotto/gottfried on twitter and youtube. they all called 2016 and say it's extremely close but leans trump.

Well met fellow user.

Biden if it's rigged
Trump it's not too rigged

Truth trips.

Pretty good. I've seen my family go from liberal as fuck to Trump banner having republicans here in northern California. My sister is half Mexican and her family is all for Trump (8 kids unironically). My mom was a coal burner and even she is for Trump now.

Barring voter fraud, he has a 100% chance. These fags saying 50/50 are fucking retards

yeah states poll is great too. personally I think the turnout is going to push him higher than the polls lists, and people are lying to the pollsters. there are going to be working class people who have never voted and now that they can't bus in college students or their normal elderly voters the dems have fucked themselves.
also lmao, biden ignored ground game until now. I have no idea how they fuck this up so bad.

FBBP

and fuck drumph

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I agree with the notion of a 280-290 electoral vote margin for Trump this cycle. He gives up a state he won in 2016 and GOP barely holds the senate (Thank Cunningham banging an Army Bro's wife in NC) at 51 seats (52 if Trump pulls a MI win as I think a John James win would be likely at that point and MI gives the middle finger to Gov Whitmer in MI for the lockdown bullshit). SCOTUS appointment was critical and Judge Barrett absolutely destroyed The Dems in the confirmation hearings.