I think this IS a lure, rather than the Post trying to backtrack. We'll get a slow drip of pics over the weekend , and a bunker buster late Sunday, or Monday.
Gavin Mitchell
do you have a fish in it?
Cooper Flores
>stage prop it was genius though, she's in the background subconsciously giving positive reinforcement to what trump is saying
Aaron Bell
Holy shit NBC colluding with Trump to help him, they got this fake black woman to act as a stage prop!
Cameron Torres
>article from the dailywire so a conservative new outlet called out that whore.. what do you think the morning talking heads on all the other msdnc networks will see her performance as?
Sebastian Young
Drumpf is on the path for a devastating defeat in November. Why?
Drumpf is down in every single poll and by every metric. At the time of writing this, Biden has a 14 point advantage over drumpf. And for a guaranteed electoral college win, Biden only needs to win the popular vote by 5 points or more, which he is well on his way to doing. The typical drumpftard deflection is to simply point out that drumpf is President while the polls "showed that Hillary would be." This is misguided in several ways. At the time of the election the polls had Hillary up by a few points and she won the popular vote by 3 million, leaving the polls 1-2 points outside the margin of error, which is much better than national polls on average. If we check Hillary's polling record, we see that she had never surpassed 50 points in polls, which Biden has done and remains doing. It should be clear then that Biden has a polling advantage over Hillary. But it gets better. After the 2016, pollsters realized that the cause of most error in 2016 polling was the underrepresentation of uneducated white trash in polls, which skewed polls in Hillary's favour by an average of 4 points. In 2020, however, most pollsters have gone through the trouble to weight by education, meaning that despite education weighting Biden is still miles of ahead of where Hillary was. Another drumpftard strategy is the enthusiasm gap, silent drumpf voters, muh Latinos, and oversampling Dems, and muh voter registration.
As for the enthusiasm gap, if one makes a proper enthusiasm measurement, including negative enthusiasm (enthusiasm to vote against a candidate), Biden has a double digit lead over drumpf in enthusiasm, because Biden backers are enthusiastic about voting against drumpf. As for silent drumpf voters, this has been thoroughly debunked in studies testing the hypothesis. For example, if the hypothesis was true, one would expect higher drumpf support in self administered polls rather than live interview. But this has been tested and shown not to be the case. As for muh Latinos, polls measuring Latino support are often really garbage, sporting an average margin of error of 10, Latinos aren't a monolithic group (Cubans being more conservative than other groups, for instance), and for the Latino support Biden has lost in Florida he has made up for it in huge gains in white voters in the state. Let's also not forget the fact that most Latinos still favour Biden by huge margins. As for oversampling Dems, there is no such thing. First of all, drumpftards like to look at the party identification section of the polls to prove that they oversampled Democrats. Anyone with half a brain knows that there are consistently more people who identify as Democrat in America. Not only that, but most pollsters don't care about the who identifies as what in their polls, because it makes absolutely no difference, as Republicans and Democrats answer surveys at exactly the same rate. Furthermore, you can't even weight by party identification because it's an opinion which changes every day, not a static demographic characteristic like race or sex. As for voter registration, drumpfsters like to say that Republicans have an advantage over dems. Let's just assume that it's true. Even with that concession, the advantage is essentially meaningless because of Biden's huge lead in the polls.
So why should we think Biden will win in November? First, Biden is benefiting from negative partisanship (voting against a candidate rather than for, which is known in political science literature to drive huge swathes of voters to the polls) more than Drumpf. Biden backers dislike drumpf more than Drumpf backers dislike Biden. Most Biden backers say they are wanting to vote for him because it's a vote against drumpf, while most drumpf backers are not saying this. Second, as I already highlighted in the first paragraph, Biden has a huge advantage in the polls and a bigger one than Hillary. Third, those who didn't vote in 2016 favour Biden by a larger margin than Drumpf. Fourth, in 2016, 1/5 of voters disliked drumpf and Hillary but still favoured drumpf by a 17 point margin, which was enough to hand drumpf key battleground states such as PA, MI and WI. The reason that these voters liked drumpf more is because he was a clean slate who had just entered politics, unlike Hillary, of whom many voters already had an opinion. But now drumpf has had a disastrous 4 years in office. So now, people who dislike Biden and drumpf make up 22% of the electorate and they favour Biden by a 38 point margin. And there is no reason to expect these statistics to change as polls from Dec 2019 and April 2020 show these people favouring Biden by a ~33 point margin. A recent PEW poll showed that most demographics have shifted support towards Biden, such as whites, white Catholics, Black men, suburbanites, higher income folks, even Republicans, and so on and so forth. Thus with all of the evidence showing that Biden will win, no reasons to distrust the polls or believe that drumpf will win, and polls getting elections correct around 80% of the time, one can reasonably conclude that Biden will in November.
>Guy in the polling industry >Data shows his polling industry is shit >I would still be in the position due to my industry data Going down with the ship
Colton Diaz
Just report for spam
Liam Roberts
Are you prepared to lose the greatest musician in American history?
who the fuck even talks to pollsters? I've literally never received a call from one my entire life
do you have to like sign up to be polled? because I have a feeling that would massively skew the results towards a certain subset of people who would sign up for shit like that
Swing State anons, What is the on the ground presents of the Biden campaign like? Shit storm aside I hear 0 about Biden and not sure it even exists. Are their people hype for him? thinking he can win?
>brennan deep connections to certain ef es be traitors that got executed by Putin. >retarded It is. But it's all about making sure people get right on the track at their own will or lose out of their own volition. All enemy attempt to exploit it are countered, and everything remains under control and according to our plans to remake everything.
Brayden Jenkins
Oy vey
Isaiah Flores
that drumpf was mainsplaining with his legs spread out over the chair very rude
Will be sex & drug orgies with underage girls. A product of joe Biden & his thirst for power & the neglect of his children. Wife & children dead in a car "accident" when he should have been there, son then dies of brain cancer. The other on the way to the grave. Just for Joe to stay in power for 50 years & get rich whilst selling out the public to the highest bidder. Fitting his own son he screwed up will end his career.
Joseph James
Do these people actually think that Trump had anything at all to do with the placement? NBC probably just assumed she was anti Trump since she's black
Cooper Howard
explain
Jaxson Ortiz
This probably was the best ratings NBC/ABC have seen in a very long time
same old same old, most are calling it being "firm" with Trump (NYT i think?). Or "setting a brisk pace". They cant be honest. Maybe one lets on a LITTLE about the rudeness, to give us the illusion of parity.
Logan Hall
THIS IS PROJECTION BECAUSE THEY KNOW Zig Forums DOXXED EVERY SINGLE ONE OF THEIR BIDEN PLANTS
Youtube comments go largely unmoderated compared to most places on the internet, naturally it skews right on any video someone on the right finds themselves wanting to watch.
Kanye is staying in the US though!
The response rate is incredibly low. Some pollsters at least make an attempt to diversify their means of collecting polling data to hit different demographics. Some pollsters are just chucklefucks just bumble around making assumptions because they know their field of work isn't a joke and it won't be a big deal if their numbers are way off. They will follow the herd of other pollsters in the last week of the race to cover their butts.
He got called out by one of his commenters, I tried to backtrack saying "But these numbers are his ONE saving grace!" There were doomers in Oct. 2016, there are doomers now, and there will be doomers in 2024. Just ignore them.
Blake Reed
Something not often reported is that the panhandle of Florida has completely embraced white identity
Cooper Howard
>exposure through humor and satire >D-D-DRUNPF IS DUMBZZ If (((you))) niggers were anywhere near as half as smart as you think you are and think this is something everyone can't pick up on, you surely do belong in reddit kek
William Edwards
DRUMPF IS NO LONGER ADVERTISING IN MI, MN, WI.
Asher Long
Literally who?
Jose Cooper
Cope. 4 years of coping & another 4 years to cope some more. Polling industry in tatters along with MSM, sport & Hollywood. Maybe the Chinks did get what they want (as started by the KGB), but in a way they helped the common man.
Parker Cox
isn't this actual racism by the way?
Isaac Howard
Hmmm, that's actually a really important question.
James Reyes
The commie sympathizer?
Brandon Carter
Checked
Connor Perry
As for dhe endhusiasm gab, if one mages a brober endhusiasm measuremend, ingluding negadive endhusiasm (endhusiasm do vode againsd a gandidade), biden has a double digid lead over drumbf in endhusiasm, begause biden baggers are endhusiasdig aboud voding againsd drumbf. as for silend drumbf voders, dhis has been dhoroughly debunged :DD in sdudies desding dhe hybodhesis. For egsamble, if dhe hybodhesis was drue, one would egsbegd higher drumbf subbord in self adminisdered :DD bolls radher dhan live inderview. Bud dhis has been desded :DD and shown nod do be dhe gase. as for muh ladinos, bolls measuring ladino subbord are ofden really garbage, sbording an average margin of error of 10, ladinos aren'd a monolidhig groub (gubans being more gonservadive dhan odher groubs, for insdange), and for dhe ladino subbord biden has losd in florida he has made ub for id in huge gains in whide voders in dhe sdade. Led's also nod forged :DD dhe fagd dhad mosd ladinos sdill favour biden by huge margins. as for oversambling dems, dhere is no sugh dhing. Firsd of all, drumbfdards lige do loog ad dhe bardy idendifigadion segdion of dhe bolls do brove dhad dhey oversambled :DD demograds. Anyone widh half a brain gnows dhad dhere are gonsisdendly more beoble who idendify as demograd in ameriga. Nod only dhad, bud mosd bollsders don'd gare aboud dhe who idendifies as whad in dheir bolls, begause id mages absoludely no differenge, as rebubligans and demograds answer surveys ad egsagdly dhe same rade. Furdhermore, you gan'd even weighd by bardy idendifigadion begause id's an obinion whigh ghanges every day, nod a sdadig demograbhig gharagderisdig lige rage or segs. as for voder regisdradion, drumbfsders lige do say dhad rebubligans have an advandage over dems. Led's jusd assume dhad id's drue. Even widh dhad gongession, dhe advandage is essendially meaningless begause of biden's huge lead in dhe bolls.
>Dixiecrats Yeah Thurmond is on the ballot with George Wallace
Nolan Wood
That might be true in the Atlanta-Metro. But surrounding and south (ignoring Albany (used to live near there. It was fine till the niggers didnt go home after Katrina), Macon, and Savannah, Ga
Levi Turner
kek this is one of those topics that left would do well to ignore it. they really cant win if they debunk it or not.
Grayson Bennett
Don't encourage it
William Morales
debunked.
Kayden Kelly
I think if America collapses, new American nations in US-CAN should work together in a joint effort.
Satire reflects what is happening. Private Eye in the UK was used by all to reflect on current events. You Chinks simply have no concept of subtlety & irony.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA, reminds me of this pic in 2016, also from Florida > OH WOW! HISPANICS ARE UP FROM 9.6 to 14.1% (Never mind the 1M or so more whites in the same period)
How does in person voter suppression even work lmao, like how do you get stopped making your vote anonymously if you want to?
Adam Brooks
>this dude was offered a multi million dollar job in some executive council in a foreign country you have no connections to except for your dad who happens to run the country >also you have no prior experience in this field of work Are Mutts really this dumb ? Are they really voting for Biden ?
Logan Anderson
I get a lot of spam calls I never answer. I assume many are pollsters.
America is filled with so many brainwashed cattle that they'll vote for Biden based on the fact that they think Trump is too mean. this is due to the hormonal imbalances in the modern day man and woman from chemicals in food and water.
John Wright
Harris loses her own state of California before a vote is cast in the Primaries & drops out & this moron thinks a poll (doesn't even name it) has Harris who even Democrats hate is up 7 points on Pence. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Adam Barnes
>national polls >unnamed national polls Your fear is palpable.
Cooper Myers
She came off as such a miserable cunt.
Adrian Hernandez
Left coup on Zig Forums
Jonathan Butler
Whoa wtf
Justin Long
> BTW How was the town hall yesterday? How was Tucker Hunter thing?
Henry Green
No the town hall was scheduled to end at 9:00 and it did. The crowd was pretty pro Trump though surprisingly.
