Swing States General - 13 DAYS EDITION /ssg/

Discussion of data, information and everything related to the swing states in the upcoming presidential election between Trump and Biden.

>Nationally, voters have cast24.9%of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election.
>At least33,988,430voters have cast ballots in the 2020 general election.
>This election is likely to have the highest voter turnout since 1900.
>Voting registration closed in: AZ, FL, GA, OH, PA.
>RCP poll shows Biden up 4 points in Top Battleground states.
>Republicans catching up in FL, NC and MI. Dems still have a sizeable lead in early voting in Pennsylvania.
>Final Florida registration numbers: 5,169,012 R., 5,303,254 D., 3,753,286 No party affiliation, 14,441,869 Total.

>Battleground states polls
realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/

>Early voting dates
ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/early-voting-in-state-elections.aspx

>Early voting statistics
electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
targetearly.targetsmart.com/
nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/florida-results

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Other urls found in this thread:

cloudresearch.com/resources/blog/election-2020-poll-respondent-honesty/.
twitter.com/NSFWRedditImage

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look up cloudresearch.com/resources/blog/election-2020-poll-respondent-honesty/. To see how bad the polls might be.

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To see an even split like that is not good for Dems.

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Prediction.

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New Wisconsin poll shows tie?

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People always show this map, but forget Clinton 1992 fucked Bush.

New Emerson Iowa poll shows Trump +2

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interesting. Is that a local polling firm? I tend to trust smaller firms more than the national level ones

The Trafalgar one is essentially a tie too because of the MoE. WI is red and the tightening is showing that.

that was a 14 point differential. the current gap is 35

They are from PA I think

CO IS GOING RED
NY IS GOING RED

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This is the map

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Quinnipiac poll in PA went from +13 to +8 Biden. Thats a 6 point swing in 3 weeks. Good for Trump?

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I could make a case for everything in that map except IL

Quinnipiac actually over samples dems. This is bad for Biden.

Are these actually results or a model from targetsmart

Isn't this a bad sign for Trump though? Explain to a non American pls.

Yeah they are.
No, Republicans are closing in with the in-person voting. Florida is looking decent so far.

Dems traditionally do early voting at a much higher rate than Reps. Republicans like to vote on election day. The fact that dems are not crushing the Reps in earlier voting is telling.

It is. Trump is behind overall by over 400k votes in Florida and that's as purple a state as you can get.

Most Reps vote in person, so Dems need like a 3x1 advantage to win.