On guys, euro vacationing in the states right now.
I finally decided to put some money behind Trump.
The 2 small bets are for Trump taking:
Michigan
Wisconsin
... Am I retarded for these bets?
I finally bet on Trump
Blake Wood
Chase Gray
Yes , better payout if he wins California
Luis Moore
Not gonna happen mate
Easton Jackson
I would say MI is a good choice (I put $200 on it turning red)
I'm considering doing the same for WI
Gabriel Jones
NOOO we are just role playing here about trump winning to troll the press
everybody knows biden is winning. Can you undo it?
Jason Perry
I figured when the niggers nigging in Kenosha plus the Kyle Rittenhouse case and what not, I'm hoping that woke some folks up.
Jayden Foster
WTF
I DIDN'T KNOW THIS
CANCELLING IMMEDIATELY AND RIDING WITH BIDEN NOW!!
James Richardson
should put a bigger percentage of that 1100 on individual states, IMO.
Leo Bell
I was thinking of adding an additional thousand. Which states would you look to allocate too?
Ethan Rivera
should have*
Mason Miller
I put my life savings on Jeb
James Powell
i have no idea which states would be best, just from a sports betting perspective, i think it would have been safer.
Cooper Powell
I miss jeb
Isee
Austin Mitchell
True that
Robert Powell
>Am I retarded for these bets?
No if he wins he'll definitely get those, but you are retarded for not at least 10 bucks on California.
Ryder Torres
I'll have to check those odds tomorrow and see if I should add some.
Dylan Bell
Go big or go home
Samuel Jackson
Fucking shit dude nice.
I was thinking a hard cap for my bets would be 3000. I might to 2.5k total on Trump election win and 500 split among states.
Nathan Scott
Good luck user
Kayden Stewart
Might as well max out a credit card betting on Trump. The great reset is coming, so fuck it, right?
Josiah Phillips
I'm jelly. In Sweden bc of covid the government only allows 500 usd/week deposits on each betting site.
I have about 2k spread around and stand to win 8k.
Pic shows about 500 usd on Trump winning popular vote.
Zachary Lopez
Nice!
Adrian Morales
If Biden wins we're fucked anyway so go out with a bang IMO.
I'm in 4k on DRUMPF, won $1600 on him in 16'.
Cameron Jackson
You're retarded for waiting so long, had you placed yout bets a month ago you could have gotten 10:2 odds on Trump, now the odds are pretty shit for any reasonable outcome.
Jordan Torres
I want to bet half my bank account on Biden. So far credit card is rejecting payments above $1k, I'll try again tomorrow.
Also PredictIt has limits on bet sizes which are very annoying. They literally won't let you bet "No" on Republicans winning the white house right now because it's maxed out (but you can bet "Yes" on democrats winning, at a raised price? US regulations are stupid)
No you got it the wrong way around. You bet on Biden for insurance. Just like car insurance is really a bet that you will be in a car accident. You hope not to win the bet
Ayden Gray
>tfw when no bets
Matthew Walker
user...
Dylan Long
>>I want to bet half my bank account on Biden. So far credit card is rejecting payments above $1k, I'll try again tomorrow.
why're you that confident lol
Levi Jones
okay some burger is gonna need to talk me down from this bet
NH biden finished last in primary, that was when talk was of him dropping out of race (25k votes to bernie's 75k, 74k buttgieg)
in essentially uncontested primary trump gets 130k votes
180k mail ballots returned this year in state (no early vote in person numbers), and rough rule of thumb based on voting intentions ~40-50% of demos intend to vote by mail.
lets be generous and take the bottom of the range, add another 10% to total for coming days of counting.
again, using voting intentions and being generous to dems, you can give them 80/20 split on mail in, so leaves you with
160k dem mail in votes
40k repub mail in votes
2016 voting numbers:
348k demos
345k repubs
repubs are expected to be 9-10x their postal vote in early votes+votes on day
dems should double their mail number to get their early votes+vote on day
320k dems
360-400k repubs
can get 5 to 1 odds where i am... is there some local bullshit going on that i am out of the loop on? some weird voting rules?
Oliver Campbell
Jaxon Phillips
transparent one is better
Cooper Murphy
I was thinking of betting on Trump winning EC seats, either 270-299 or 300-329 (both at 6 to 1 odds).
Jayden Richardson
Which website are you using?
Lincoln Watson
>him dropping out of race (25k votes to bernie's 75k, 7
I had a couple hundred on Trump to win NH in 16', the state has a bunch of Massachusetts liberals that fuck it up.There may also have been some dodgy business in 16', that said i still have a couple hundred on DRUMPF to win it again.
Leo Taylor
i was about to bet something but my country has so many taxes that i would barely win anything
Nicholas Wood
In some states the market has Trump's odds 6.5 times higher than what they should be. It's crazy not to bet
What are you talking about, Trump's odds dropped like a rock after October
it's not transparent user
Thomas Taylor
No you'll win money. I hope you are visiting nice places and not NY/CAL