It is too good of an issue to be solved soon. It's strategic position both as being cross roads between three countries and being in pathway of one of major river of Pakistan makes it ripe for all parties to get the bigger piece of the pie.
Pakistan will keep sending non-state actors to foment trouble in it's Soviet-Afghan war 2 electric boogaloo doctrine while India is forced to carry on tougher crackdown sto maintain it's grip in the valley. China will make sure that Pakistan get away with everything for CPEC project, a crucial piece it's OBBR initiative.
Elijah Thomas
OBOR, I mean.
Landon Diaz
Is the conflict going to escalate? Pls dont nuke each other
Nolan Lopez
India's nuclear doctrine has two tenants - 1. No first use against any nuclear armed country 2. Prohibition of any usage of nukes against non-nuclear countries Which is despite being slapped with sanctions for Pokhran 2 in 1998, India has maintainted a reputation of a peaceful country. Which is why despite never being signatory of NPT and CTBT, USA did a nuclear deal with India in 2009 and has secured membership in Missile Technology Control Regime. However it failed to gain a chair at Nuclear Suppliers group thanks to China who are like "well why not include Pakistan too in it you know". Regarding Pakistan, well their doctrine is to develop many tactical nukes which they will use to deter the numerical superiority of Indian armed forces in case of a war. They even have a MIRV missile - Abadeel just to carry multiple nuclear warheads. Due to it being hotbed of islamic terrorism, USA and China has to sustain this state so the nukes don't fall in hands of terrorists. In 1999 they actually had nukes ready near Line of Control(LoC) when Kargil conflict was going on.
Jack Richardson
Thus given the current global world order, I don't think the conflict is going to escalate. It will remain a game of cat and mouse in the foreseeable future.
