Trump isn't going anywhere, and Republicans are going to win big in November. The conservatives in this country are galvanized every time Trump revels in corruption, because he's just like them.
The people who have the most to lose from Trump have just given up on voting and recognize that we live in a straight up dictatorship. I don't mean dictatorship in the sense that liberal democracy is inevitably a dictatorship of the bourgeoisie, I mean it's a literal dictatorship no different from the USSR in its heyday. Trump is acceptable enough as a front for the regime, and the people who are really in charge know this and have been running the narrative without serious opposition.
The people around Trump will be thrown under the bus, that's just politics and settling of scores, and by doing so Trump becomes moreso the tool of the rulers (not that Trump has any real intention of opposing anything, or that Trump is even mentally capable of being opposition). The upper classes are just sniping at each other for position, and Mueller wants to get more totalitarian shit passed.
Thomas Nguyen
Have you been following the congressional special elections? Normally cherry red districts have been uncomfortably close races.
GoP will likely lose the house and keep the senate, and only because the senate map is particularly favorable this cycle.
Kayden Murphy
Special elections are not a good indicator. The conservatives in those districts knew that the end result would be a win, so they don't come out. The only exception was Roy Moore the pedo and no one wanted to vote for that.
I expect the Repubs to actually gain seats. They're hyped and pumped, the Democrats have no energy and the shy tory effect is a thing.
I think the Dems will take the House this cycle and take the Senate in 2020, which will be an unfavorable map for Republicans.
The Jones campaign thought that the paedo story made Moore more likely to win because it nationalized the race and made it very partisan.
I think the Dems will do well this year. Not sure how well but I can only speak for where I live, which is a solid red part of Texas and there are neighborhood Democratic committees popping up everywhere and lots of on-the-ground activity. Publicly the GOP talks with a lot of confidence but they're sweating bullets privately.
Sebastian Diaz
How the fuck is the US an imperialist capitalist country similar to the socialist USSR could you explain further?
tl;dr Trump won all the general elections because his opposition was unable to concentrate resources on a single election, whereas Trump's strategy is not election-specfic. This is more of a matter of microtargeting vs broadcast, and Trump is demonstrating that the latter works much better outside of special elections.
They'll maybe take the Senate but the House is probably safe. For Dems to take the Senate they must first ensure their existing candidates do not loose, in particular Hietkamp and Manchin are on the edge especially as the DNC makes their job much harder by focusing on gun control (which is not an issue that flies in ND or WV). Meanwhile they have to flip seats in Arizona, Texas and Florida.
All of this wouldn't be notable if it wasn't for Republicans having solid control of the midwest. Right now WI, MI, OH and PA are all expected to lean slightly Republican while MN is a tossup. This is bad news for Democrats and is why they are still in extremely hot water, a huge segment of their base has switched parties and they have no clear way of winning them back. In fact the DNC strategy here is to completely forget about these people and try and flip AZ, TX and FL through hispanic turnout. Which is why they're probably not going to get anywhere, because even if they are successful they've at best traded one group of states for another.
Which is another issue: the MSM is conveniently trying to ignore Ohio's role as a bellweather because Ohio is going hard red again due to Trump's steel tariffs. So they all focus on Florida and hope they can swing it there then move onto Texas, even though both don't have the same amount of liberals as the rust belt.
Luke Clark
Not him but my take:
USSR = one party communist state USA = one party Republican state
America's history from 1865-1912 (the gilded age) is significant here, as the GOP ran the US without any opposition until Democrats had embraced Labor and got northern workers voting for them, creating a coalition big enough to propel Wilson into the Presidency on an anti-war platform (which was shortly discarded after the Zimmerman Telegram, but I digress).
For Democrats, this is the foundation of their modern coalition. If they cannot win over northern workers or the South they won't be a national party.
