WWIII Thread

Nobody knows, lol but I would say likely.
I could effortpost some more if you want to

Honestly I’d appreciate it, I honestly could see a US-Invasion of Iran as a possible catalyst towards WW3

Hmm, if that’s true that would make Trump smarter than liberals give him credit for.

However, how will that affect the political climate of Eurasia? I know things are tense.

Regarding war, the danger isn't that any of the sides wants a war. Iran doesn't, and the US doesn't either (at least not yet). The problem is that wars don't necessarily happen by design, but by accident. When tensions run high (and in a world where response times have decreased a lot), miscalculations can happen (like the one that nearly ended the world in 1995: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norwegian_rocket_incident). This is what the Europeans are fretting about, and why Spain pulled back its frigate from the Persian Gulf mission.

The US' desire to exit this ordeal without defeat (i.e., force the Iranians to the table), will likely lead to them continuously escalating in order to increase the immediate threat felt by Iranian leaders. This is their main source of leverage, as they've already sanctioned Iran to the moon and back. The Iranians have recognized this strategy, and are thus less likely to misinterpret US military build-up for now.
However, if the Iranians don't relent to US pressure, the US is left with two choices:
1.) Give up. This sends a signal to all other countries facing US pressure in the now or the future about US weakness - the US has no stomach for war, and thus US military pressure is just an empty threat. Consider a hostage situation in which you pull out your gun and threaten to shoot a hostage when your other hostages become unruly. Instead of backing off, the other hostages dare you to shoot. What do you do? If you don't shoot, your gun becomes powerless in the eyes of the hostages.
2.) Reinforce military pressure. This means actually using it in order to prove that you are willing to go the entire way. This doesn't necessarily involve an invasion, but more likely striking some Iranian assets, risking retaliation from Iran and thus increasing the likelihood of war dramatically.

Meanwhile, with tensions rising, any mistake or miscalculation (or unilateral action from some Iran-aligned militia or other proxy) can set off a chain of event leading to war, without there being any intention behind it. For now, this is the real danger. However, I'd say the risk of war is going to rise dramatically when both sides recognize the stalemate of wills going on, and the US has to show that it is actually willing to walk the walk. That's when the Iranians would have reason to suspect US military build-up is not part of the pressure campaign, but preparations for an attack.

Hope this made some sense.
t. got an A in international politics like 5 years ago

I wonder, with the two world wars, were those intentional and desired, or were they similarly accidents? Lenin wrote in Imperialism that WWI was inevitable and required for capitalist accumulation to reset, and I doubt that WWII wasn’t the same. I’ve read and seen about the territorial divisions in today’s world, with the Earth divided up between imperialists and without anymore resources for continued exploitation. On the grand scale it seems like a WWIII is inevitable, what are your thoughts on this?

oh i meant someone should kill bolton lel

Bolton’s mustache should kill Bolton

If this theory is true. Which is a big if, the effects would mostly be economic. China’s days of high growth rates would be over, and America would have a lot more time before they surpassed them in terms of who has a bigger GDP, as lower energy prices make America the better country for factories to be located, especial highly automated ones. This would cause a minor brain drain from China and Europe towards America. Europe would suffer from this, possible entering into a new recession, because of this NATO would be dead, and Russia would obviously benefit a lot from this. It would be killing America’s diplomatic dominance over Europe in order to ensure America has economic dominance over the world. Which I think Trump would be a-ok with.

Reminder that the UK is Satanic and USA is the Great Satan.

Trump got elected to make people wanna go to war with Russia. Germany viewed Russia as their friend and the only possible ally for defeating the Anglo but the Anglos funded Hitler and Fascism. Now they wanna defeat all possible resistance towards the values of the Anglos.

If I could go back in time I would give the German Empire AK-47's.

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Highly doubt this theory