Why are burgers so desperate for this war

Mate, the reason a Starcraft AI is capable of beating pro SC players is because it can play millions of games against itself.
It cannot run millions of wars against Iran.

No, I made sure to mention that the AI/wargaming isn't infallible. While an AI can get pretty much "perfect" at Starcraft, there are just too many variables for a real war. A certain level of scientific abstraction and aggregation can assist them, but I would say overall, the present imperialist scientific & AI heuristic strategies of warfare are at best "better" and "unexpected." I also pointed out that the current strategy is an imperialist inversion of guerilla warfare. That is to say, good Marxist strategists came up with part of this approach first! And there are real Marxist strategies that are simply inaccessible to imperialists, namely, anything that depends on mass support from the working class.

It's also fair to assume that major countries such as China, Russia, and Iran are also running simulations with modern techniques. I think these countries also have a stronger stance in some senses because they are on the right side of history in the major conflict (EG, not that Russia is somehow socialist, but that they are on the right side of history assisting Syria) and as a result can garner more organic mass support. Another result of their stance is that they have better official theory. If you compare public statements and analyses from the political leaders of the global resistance to those of the imperialists, the resistance leaders say things that are much more sensible, logical, and truthful. In comparison, the imperialist powers have to keep the truth hidden from their own masses and only allow their cadres (CIA, military, etc) to learn what's really going on in a compartmentalized and fragmented way.

They can certainly train AIs and simulations on data from past wars, and then set up simulated Iran wars for the AI to train in.

I don't think they can.

It's the only thing they do well. And even then they struggle against illiterate peasants with decades old military gear and one meal a day.

Absolutely not. Aside from that not-even-near-future scifi tinfoil angle is pretty on point though.

I suggest you take this opportunity to read more about AI. It's very interesting but the more you understand how all the large gains are being made these days, the more you'll understand how limited current implementations are, and how utterly infeasible anything like "geopolitical simulation" is, even for state actors.

I'm sure all the great powers and even megacorps use AI in more limited contexts to inform bigger decisions though. If the problem space can be reduced to something computationally feasible the data can be generated from running multiple simulations. One possible example comes to mind. The problem is: how to storm a specific urban area with a given number of ground troops. Topology can be gathered from satellites, projected into 3D, and simulated AI actors coordinate trying to secure the area. Fitness is measured in lowest number of casualties and lowest mission completion time. Such limited scenarios might even resemble something like a Starcaft match and therefore could be better solved by ML than people.

I really suggest you look more into what's going on with war simulators and really come to comprehend how limited they are.

I'm really not sure what you think I'm alleging. What I am saying is that they can and do build abstracted models/spaces of international conflicts and then use them to try to figure out what to do next. And with modern tech, yes, they are absolutely going to use AI heuristics to help make plans and predictions. It's even possible for them to get some use from old-style algorithmic AI, there's no doubt that they have uses for souped up versions of the enemy algos in Total War.

I am not saying that they have a big brain machine that they feed data to and it just tells them exactly what to do next.

glorified statistics are a meme

Yes. You may not have realized but our whole thing is thriving on the domination of others. It's what we're founded on. And we'll probably keep that up at any cost. Don't ask me why, I don't call the shots around here.